Toilets to Titles, NFL Week 3 Primer

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Games of the week

@CoachSchepps

– Chiefs/Ravens Monday Night

@JustinFF_

– Rams @ Bills 1pm

Betting Segment (@Nate_Dirt19)

Spreads from FD book

Lines that caught my eye 

  • Falcons -3.5(-110) vs Bears
  • Bills -1.5(-110) vs Rams
  • Tampa -6(-115) at Denver
  • Packers +3(+100)(+142ML) at saints

Lock(s) of the week

  • Ravens -3(-130) vs Chiefs
  • Arizona -5.5(-110) vs lions

Dudes & Duds (@CoachSchepps)

Dudes

QB – Carson Wentz Vs. Bengals

The Bengals watched Baker Mayfield throw for 219 and 2 TDs on only 23 attempts. Wentz has topped 40 attempts in the last 2 weeks and should continue that trend.

QB – Joe Burrow @ Philadelphia

I’m keeping it in Philly. Burrow threw the ball 63 times last week and is entering a decent match-up this week. Jared Goff threw for 267, 3 TDs and 0 INTs week 2 vs. Philly, Burrow should have a solid day.

RB – James Robinson Vs. Miami

Robinson ran for a pretty 6.4 YPC on 16 attempts(102 YDs) and even contributed in the passing game (3/18). JR is going up against a Miami team that let up 93 yards on 18 carries to the Bills in week 2. 

RB –  David Montgomery @ Atlanta

Was week 2 Monty’s coming out party? 16/82/5.1YPC & 3/45/1TD…that’s a great days work. This week he heads to Atlanta to face a team that should be worn down from a tough game vs. Ezekiel Elliott. The Falcons can throw the ball all over the yard. Chicago would be smart to control the game by feeding Monty and keeping Ryan & Co. off the field. 

WR –  Ceedee Lamb @ Seattle

Lamb is just scratching the surface. He is rolling into Seattle hot and is facing a secondary that let Julian Edelman go 8/179 from the slot and N’Keal Harry go 8/72/Damier Byrd 6/72. That Cowboys defense is gonna let up points and they’ll be playing catch up for most of the game.

WR – Diontae Johnson Vs. Houston

6/57 week 1 and 8/92/1TD week 2. This cat keeps rising. He’s an excellent route runner and excellent after the catch. He’s a weekly starter at this point.

TE – Jonnu Smith Vs. Minn

His break out came last week and I think he continues to ascend. Mo Allie-Cox went 5/111 last week vs. Minn, Jonnu will be ready to roll.

Duds

QB – Josh Allen Vs. LAR

This week, the Bills are not playing the Jets or the Dolphins. Aaron Donald and co are going to get in Allen’s face and bring him back down to earth.

QB – Deshaun Watson Vs. Pitt

Things do not get easier for Watson as he goes into Pittsburgh to face arguably the toughest defense he’s seen yet.

RB – Gurley Vs. Chicago

Gurley has looked mediocre at best since the start of the season and he faces a defense that held the Giants backs to 14/48.

RB –  Jerrick Mckinnon Vs. NYG

Just when you think it’s Mckinnon season, Jeff Wilson JR. creeps in and takes half the carries. #Don’tTrustShanahan

WR –  DJ Moore @ LAC

Chargers held Mahomes in check last week and if not for one monster play to Tyreek Hill, they had him bottled up as well. DJ gets a tough matchup, I’m sitting him.

WR – Emmanuel Sanders Vs. GB

1/18 vs. Oakland. Even if MT is out, I’m not starting him.

TE – Evan Engram Vs. SF

San Fran has only let up 26 yards to TEs this season, I’m not counting on Engram this week.

Streamers(@JustinFF_)

  • Biggest week 2 hits- CJ Uzomah (4/42/TD, injured late in the 2nd quarter/early 3rd. Sample had 7/45. Most of that after Uzumah exited), Rams DST ended as top 10 Defense in most formats. Burrow (Top 9 QB), Harry and Bourne were both flex level options, 
  • Worst Week 2 misses- Philip Rivers (Not even a low-end QB2), Peyton Barber (went from 41% snap share to only playing 1 snap. Gibson and McKissic are clearly the 1 2 punch there), Parris Campbell (1 carry for 7 yards, and an injury), Titans were a Low-End DST 2. 

Streams of the Week

(Mention that “Streaming” is typically different than “waivers” due to the injuries this week)

QB’s

  • NOT Mitch Trubisky. It’s time to jump off this train before it wrecks. Atlanta just got torched by a great QB in an amazing offense. Mostly in the 4th quarter, but it still counts. In week 1 they got torched by the another great QB in a nice offense against Seattle. They are last in the league against QBs, but they have yet to face a bad offense. The Falcons can easily jump out to an early lead in this one and play against the pass. Mitch isn’t good enough to beat that.
  • Instead, let’s stream Ryan Tannehill. He is still relatively unowned and has been doing great things for the Titans. He has an amazing repor with TE Jonnu Smith and is the QB 8 overall in fantasy. He faces a Vikings defense that was picked apart by Aaron Rodgers in Week 1, then even looked bad against Philip Rivers and an injury depleted receiving corp. 
  • Gardner Minshew. The Dolphins have so far been badly beaten by Cam Newton’s legs and Josh Allen’s deep ball. Minshew is very good at both of those aspects of his game. He may have a turnover or 2 and maybe even cost the Jags the game, but for your fantasy team, he should perform to a low end QB 1/High end QB 2 this week.

RB’s

  • Obviously if you can get Mike Davis, Dion Lewis, Jerrick McKinnon or Wayne Gallman this week, then it’s worth a shot to spend some FAAB to get them, but I’m not sure any of them are great long term help, so if you are looking for that cheap stream and miss out on these guys, try Joshua Kelley. After 2 weeks, Kelley and Ekeler have the same number of carries (35) and Ekeler only has 3 more receptions than Kelley. And both games were close games. This is a 50/50 split. In math, that’s almost like 50% or something. With everyone over paying and over reaching for the other guys I mentioned because of injuries, you may be able to sneak in and get Kelley for a better value. 

WR’s

  • Braxton Berrios. Week 1, hardly even got on the field. Week 2, he scored 17.9 PPR points and was the WR 14 Overall. Crowder (Hamstring) already in danger of missing week 3 against the Colts. Periman (Ankle) in danger of missing Week 3. Chris Hogan (Ribs) hurting, but likely to play. If Perriman and/or Hogan can play, they’ll be the outside WRs. The Colts have covered the outside WRs extremely well. Thielen was practically non-existent in week 2 and DJ Chark did his only real damage out of the slot. With Malik Hooker out for the season for the Colts, that slot WR spot is likely the only weakness that the Jets may be able to attack this week with any effectiveness and Berrios does have a sneaky ability to find the open hole. The Jets will clearly have to pass the ball a lot this week and Darnolds INTs do not equal negative points for Berrios.

TE’s

  • Drew Sample. If he isn’t one of the waiver adds then you still may get him cheap. 7/45 mostly after the Uzomah injury. Was Thursday night so people may have forgotten about him/more focused on those other big injuries at the more key positions, and has more time to prepare for this week being that he played Thursday night. Plays the Eagles this week who just gave up 3 TD’s to Tyler Higbee this week. Burrow is looking better and more composed with every drop back.
  • Mo Alie-Cox. 5 of 6 for 111. 22 yard average. Week 1, Colts TE’s combined for 5 of 6 for 69 yards. Originally they said Doyle may be out for several weeks. Now stating he may play. But Doyle isn’t River’s style TE. Mo is. Mo Alie-Cox will have a set weekly role in this offense every week.

Def/ST

  • Titans vs. MIN.

More Streamers to consider

  • Baker Mayfield
  • Myles Gaskin
  • Logan Thomas

DFS Plays (@CoachSchepps)

DraftKings.Com

QB – Minshew Vs. Miami ($6400)

RB – Ekeler Vs. Carolina ($6800)

RB – Kenyan Drake Vs. Detroit ($6000)

WR – Mclaurin @ Cleveland ($5900)

WR – Keelan Cole Vs. Miami ($4100)

TE – Goedert Vs. Cinci ($4900)

DST – Chargers Vs. Carolina ($3600)

Turtleheads (They’re about to breakout)(@JustinFF_)

Guys to claim before they breakout

Last Week’s

  • N’Keal Harry. Cam more than doubles his attempts and he doubles Harry’s targets. 8 catches for 72 yards in week 2. 28.5% target share. That’s a large percentage. A stretch of several games coming up where they will have to throw. 

This Week’s

  • Dion Lewis, 1 year 1.55 million. Wayne Gallman last year of rookie deal and was just a healthy scratch in Week 2, $930K. Devonta Freeman turned down a 1 year $4 million dollar deal before training camp to wait until a team in need could pay him more. Not sure on the contract details here, but the Giants clearly wanted something better than what they had after the Barkley injury and they had to pay him. They are going to utilize him.
  • Nick Foles. For all the reasons I mentioned above about Trubisky… It’s time in 2 QB or SF leagues to think about picking up Foles. We know about the relationship with Coach Nagy and his ability to not suck at times. An ability that Trubisky simply does not posses.
John Schepps Written by:

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